Can Clinton Pull it Together?

02-12-2008

With victories doubtful today in D.C., Maryland, and Virginia, Hillary Clinton will need to win Ohio and Texas to keep her campaign alive. More below from The New York Times:

Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton and her advisers increasingly believe that, after a series of losses, she has been boxed into a must-win position in the Ohio and Texas primaries on March 4, and she has begun reassuring anxious donors and superdelegates that the nomination is not slipping away from her, aides said on Monday.

Mrs. Clinton held a buck-up-the-troops conference call on Monday with donors, superdelegates and other supporters; several said afterward that she had sounded tired and a little down, but determined about Ohio and Texas.

They also said that they had not been especially soothed, and that they believed she might be on a losing streak that could jeopardize her competitiveness in those states.

"She has to win both Ohio and Texas comfortably, or she's out," said one superdelegate who has endorsed Mrs. Clinton, and who spoke on condition of anonymity to share a candid assessment. "The campaign is starting to come to terms with that." Campaign advisers, also speaking privately in order to speak plainly, confirmed this view.

The whole article is here.

Part of the problem for the Clinton campaign is that the media love a great story and Obama is a great story. What ends up happening is that a narrative is crafted, which leads to sustained momentum.

Of course, the media also loves plot twists and in a 24/7 media world, there would be nothing better than Clinton regaining her footing just in time to win Ohio and Texas.

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