Some Evangelicals Undecided in New SC Poll

01-18-2008

I have no life. So here's the story. I'm sitting here in Columbia South Carolina and I find out an important new South Carolina poll is going to be released at 4pm eastern on MSNBC. I run to a television to watch. Goodness gracious. Anyhow, click here to read the latest poll which shows McCain and Huckabee in a virtual tie. The undecided Evangelical vote will be key. See part of the Slate Article below:

The survey, by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, found a battle between McCain, an Arizona senator, and Huckabee, a former Arkansas governor, for the lead. It also revealed a close struggle for third between former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney and former Tennessee Sen. Fred Thompson.

As in earlier contests, the margin is close, the voters are unsure and the campaign is volatile. Almost 1 in 10 likely voters said they were still undecided, and one-third of those who did express support for candidates said they might change their minds in the final hours.

The biggest bloc of undecided voters are evangelical Christians.

Huckabee draws his greatest support from voters looking for a candidate who shares their values, where he had a 2-1 edge over Thompson, a better edge over Romney and a nearly 3-1 advantage over McCain.  Huckabee has campaigned as a devout Christian who'd oppose abortion and gay marriage but also as an economic populist who'd look out more for working people than corporate bosses.

He had an edge among evangelical voters, but not the lopsided margin he's had in other states, winning 33 percent of them to McCain's 20 percent, Thompson's 15 percent and Romney's 13 percent.  It's a little more spread around here," said Brad Coker, the managing partner of Mason-Dixon.

The poll suggests that evangelicals remain key swing voters heading into the voting. There were more undecided evangelicals, 11 percent, than non-evangelical voters, 4 percent, for a ratio of 3-1.  More people call themselves evangelical Christians in South Carolina than in most other states, including Iowa, where Huckabee won most of them. That's partly because there are more of them in South Carolina.

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